President Donald Trump is currently outdoing himself in his eagerness to copy Russian views and to please Vladimir Putin. Why?
There are various explanations. The most popular is the assumption that Putin has kompromat that he can use to blackmail Trump and make him compliant. Recordings of Trump's sexual escapades during previous visits to Moscow are suspected to constitute the kompromat. Another assumption relates to President Biden's energetic support for Ukraine in its defensive struggle against Russia. Because Biden acted pro-Ukrainian, Trump now wants to act in the opposite way, i.e. pro-Russian, so the assumption goes.
Notwithstanding these hypotheses, there is also a possible geopolitical aspect to Trump's behavior: i.e. Trump's attempt to renew and strengthen his friendship with Putin in order to protect America from its enemies in the Far East: China and North Korea.
Three years of Western sanctions punishing the Kremlin for its invasion of Ukraine have isolated Russia. Despite all of its tricks, smuggling and shadow fleets, the effects of the sanctions became increasingly unpleasant for Moscow; Russia also became more and more isolated diplomatically.
Now Trump has broken Russia's shackles in one fell swoop, made Moscow presentable again and held out the prospect of removing the sanctions. What is driving Trump to do this?
It was probably Putin's flirtation with North Korea's Kim Jong-un that startled Trump and his court. Putin and Kim together is a deadly pairing that should keep Washington awake at night. The combination of Kim's nuclear technology with Russian expertise in both nuclear technology and missile construction threatens to push the US mainland into the target area of the ruler in Pjoengyang. It is clear that Western sanctions have cornered Putin in such a way that by dropping Russia's long-standing self-limitation he has offered Kim to assist him in military development-- in order to win his friendship and his military support. Thus Kim gained access to cutting-edge technology that not only Russia but also China had denied him.
The causal chain is a simple one: Russia overruns Ukraine. America and Europe oppose the aggression and isolate Russia. Russia seeks help from China, Iran and North Korea. China hesitates, but North Korea responds enthusiastically, hoping that Russia would help it to bring America to its knees. A desperate Putin is forced to satisfy Kim. Trump recognizes the mortal danger this means to the USA and decides to intervene. But how?
By breaking Putin's isolation, by restoring his world standing and offering him his part of Ukraine, plus sacrificing the obnoxious Zelensky, Trump seeks to convince Putin -- in exchange for all the goodies -- to drop his new friend Kim and cease to collaborate with him before supersonic intercontinental missiles with nuclear warheads able to reach the US mainland are set up on launch pads hidden deep in North Korea's mountains.
Heinrich von LoeschDonald Trump’s highly public schism with Volodymyr Zelensky has yielded the kind of doublethink that is common in personality cults. Those believers who approve of the policy hail the great leader’s strategic genius. And those who oppose it cast the blame elsewhere, constructing ever more elaborate accounts of Trump’s strategy to avoid acknowledging the obvious: Trump has an affinity for Vladimir Putin.The AtlanticThe day BEFORE the (White House) Zelenskyy meeting Russian lawmakers on Russian state TV said that Trump has embraced a new world order with Russia, their worldviews are aligned, and detailed the attack that Trump and Putin planned to do on Zelenskyy the next day. They detailed exactly what in fact happened the next day.
The mineral deal was nothing but a set up.
Russian State TV Confirmed Trump is Actively Dividing the West, Trump’s Upcoming 25% Tariff on Europe is An Economic Attack Against Europe With Russia
They also said that Trump’s upcoming 25% tariff on Europe is Trump working with Russia to economically attack Europe. They said that Trump is doing their work to actively divide the West. Russian state TV said it was no coincidence that Trump was parroting Putin after their 90 minute call. Trump and his allies see themselves as carrying out a great feat of “rebalancing” on the world stage. They seem to harbor hopes of carrying out a “reverse Kissinger” — that is, forging an opening with Moscow in a bid to drive a wedge between Russia and China, just as President Richard M. Nixon undermined the Soviet Union when achieving a détente with Beijing in 1972.Trump aka Krasnov?
In a Facebook post on Thursday (February 21), former Kazakh intelligence chief Alnur Mussayev makes an explosive claim: He had been active in the 6th Directorate of the KGB in Moscow, which was responsible for supporting counterintelligence in the economy. One of its main objectives had been the “recruitment of businessmen from capitalist countries”. As part of these efforts, “our directorate recruited Donald Trump, a 40-year-old American businessman, under the pseudonym Krasnov” in 1987.
Ex-KGB agent comes clean: Trump is said to have been recruited in 1987 under the code name “Krasnov”
But that's not all. "Donald Trump has fallen into the FSB's net and is taking the bait deeper and deeper. This is proven by numerous indirect facts published in the media," Mussayev writes below. Based on his “operational work at the KGB-KNB”, he can “say with certainty that Trump belongs to the category of perfectly recruited individuals”, the former intelligence chief continued. He has “no doubt that Russia compromised the president of the United States and that the Kremlin promoted Trump to the presidency of the most important world power for many years,” Mussayev claims.
In Musayev's home country of Kazakhstan, there are doubts about his account. In the USA, the “Daily Beast” magazine deleted an article on the story a few hours after it appeared.
US President Donald Trump was groomed 37 years ago as a potential Soviet asset, according to Alnur Mussayev, the former head of Kazakhstan’s security services, who had been a KGB officer in Moscow at the time.
In a Facebook post, Mussayev tried to shed light on Trump’s often baffling willingness to mollify Putin: “In 1987, I served in the 6th Directorate of the USSR KGB in Moscow,” Mussayev wrote on Feb. 20, explaining how “the most important direction of the work of the 6th Administration was the recruitment of businessmen from capitalist countries.”
Alnur Mussayev
He added: “It was that year that our administration recruited a 40-year-old businessman from the United States, Donald Trump under the pseudonym ‘Krasnov.’”
Since his first term as president, Trump has been suspected of being, if not a Russian asset outright, then at least inordinately sympathetic to Vladimir Putin and Russia.
In 2017, just as Trump was taking office after defeating Hillary Clinton in the presidential election, a report put together by former British intelligence operative Christopher Steele came to light. The document, initially commissioned by Trump’s Republican adversaries and subsequently taken over by the Democratic opposition, contained salacious accusations from purported Russian intelligence operatives claiming that Moscow had kompromat (compromising material) on Trump dating back to his various visits to Russia – including the infamous and never-corroborated “golden shower” videotape with Trump and a prostitute in a Moscow hotel.
Although the credibility of the “Steele dossier” has been vehemently contested by Trump supporters, especially for its use of anonymous sources, Mussayev confirms the existence of kompromat on Trump. In a Facebook post from Feb. 18, 2018, the former Kazakh spy chief who now resides in Vienna, Austria, wrote:
“Donald Trump is on the FSB’s hook and is swallowing the bait deeper and deeper. This is evidenced by numerous indirect facts published in the media. There is such a thing as the recruitability of an object. Based on my experience of operational work in the KGB-KNB [the Kazakh successor to the KGB], I can say for sure that Trump belongs to the category of ideally recruitable people. I have no doubt that Russia has kompromat on the US President, that over the course of many years the Kremlin has been promoting Trump to the post of President of the main world power.”
Already seven years ago, Mussayev said that the ruling elite in the US understood well that their president was deeply dependent on the Kremlin, but wouldn’t openly admit it, so as to not jeopardize the US’s status as sole superpower. He predicted the various attempts to remove Trump from power.
“Donald Trump was cultivated as a Russian asset… and proved so willing to parrot anti-Western propaganda that there were celebrations in Moscow.” – Yuri Shvets
Well-worn accusations
Mussayev’s claims are by no means the only ones from former KGB officers.
In “American Kompromat,” a 2021 book by Craig Unger, former KGB officer Yuri Shvets claims that Trump had been recruited by Moscow in the 1980s.
Unger, however, has been quick to point out that the Trump recruitment process was almost fortuitous. “He was an asset,” Shvets said of Trump. “It was not this grand, ingenious plan that we’re going to develop this guy and 40 years later he’ll be president. At the time it started… the Russians were trying to recruit like crazy and going after dozens and dozens of people.
Shvets noted that Trump was the perfect target: “His vanity, narcissism made him a natural target to recruit. He was cultivated over a 40-year period, right up through his election,” he said, referring to the 2016 election.
Unexpected observer at Riyadh peace talks
Images from the Feb. 18 Riyadh meeting between Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and his American counterparts showed Russian businessman Dmitry Rybolovlev as a member of the Kremlin delegation and present at the talks, watching away from the main table. Rybolovlev is the Russian oligarch responsible for helping Trump out of a debt crunch by purchasing a Trump Palm Beach property valued at $40 million for $95 million in 2008.
NYT: A columnist for the “New York Times” speculated after the scene whether Trump might be a Russian agent. He couldn't believe it himself, but at least Trump looked like one, wrote Thomas L. Friedman.
Trump and Vance have revealed to Americans and to America’s allies their alignment with Russia, and their animosity toward Ukraine in general and its president in particular. The truth is ugly, but it’s necessary to face it.
Michael Bociurkiw:
I’ve a growing feeling that what we saw was almost pre-meditated. A deliberate sabotage by the Trump team of a draft resource deal that became so diluted that they no longer felt inclined to sign. But more so - long-simmering lava building up within Donald Trump against Zelensky and Ukraine that reached boiling point. .
SPD foreign affairs expert Roth reacted with horror. “They are lashing out at Selensky without any respect or expertise. They are not only taking away his dignity, but also that of his people,” he told the ‘Tagesspiegel’ newspaper. This was “politically devastating and deeply indecent in human terms”. Putin and all authoritarian rulers should rejoice. With regard to the role of the USA, Roth added: “The USA no longer plays on the ‘liberal democracy’ team.”
“Anyone who relies on Trump's America will be abandoned"
“That was a train wreck by design,” said Sam Greene, a professor of Russian politics at King’s College London. “The quiet conversation since Munich has been about setting Ukraine up for a fall."
By Friday afternoon, the Trump administration was briefing reporters that it was so offended by Zelenskyy’s conduct that it would consider cutting all military aid to Ukraine, including ammunition, vehicles and missiles awaiting shipment. The official told the Washington Post that the conflict with Zelenskyy had not been premeditated.
PS: And what will happen to Ukraine?
In an interview with VOA, Frederick Kagan said a Russian victory in Ukraine would be a victory for Iran, China and North Korea, encouraging adventurism in their respective regions, and allow Russia to rebuild its army by obtaining additional human and material resources within Ukraine. A Russian takeover of Ukraine would send a wave of refugees into Europe, further destabilizing the continent, Kagan said. “They’ve committed atrocities on the Ukrainian population in the areas they occupy. I would expect that would get worse the further west the Russians move and the more they move into the hardest traditional anti-Russian, pro-Western areas of western Ukraine. The horrors will be unspeakable,” he predicted.