Trumps' efforts to befriend Putin and re-integrate Russia in the world community are yielding almost daily surprises. Today, defence minister Pete Hegseth said he would stop aggressive US cyber warfare against Russia.

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dailykos

Ukraine? Since the Ukrainian rare earth reserves that inspired Trump to launch one of his crazy projects turned out to be doubtful and difficult to extract, the project was abandoned by Trump and the responsibility for its termination cunningly blamed on Zelensky. Now the Trump administration lost all interest in Ukraine and left it up for grabs by Putin. 

Even without US support, Ukraine is not about to lose the war because a new leader eentered the scene: British prime minister Keir Starmer. In the spirit of his  historic predecessor Winston Churchill he promised to never abandon Ukraine and summoned all European actors to a crisis meeting in London. 

The world is wondering: why is Trump pursuing his seemingly erratic course?  There are three alternative memes:

-- Trump is a Russian agent who by chance, luck and Russian influence became twice placed in the White House;

-- Trump is a friend and admirer of poor Putin upon whom the Ukraine war has been foisted

-- Trump is a cunning politician who tries to decouple Putin from his allies, especially China and Iran

This "reverse Kissinger" meme was offered by GE

Trump wants the US to ‘partner’ with Russia to weaken China: Divide-and-conquer strategy. The US government’s talks with Russia are more about China than Ukraine. Donald Trump admitted he wants to “un-unite” Russia and China, in a reverse of the divide-and-conquer strategy used by Nixon and Kissinger in the 1970s.

 

We, at Deutsche Rundschau, have offered a different meme: Trump tries to satisfy Putin's desire for victory in Ukraine and his re-instatement as a super power in order to stop him from helping his new friend Kim Yong-un of North Korea to produce nuclear-armed missiles which are able to reach and devastate mainland USA.

North Korea unveiled for the first time a nuclear-powered submarine under construction, a weapons system that can pose a major security threat to South Korea and the U.S. The state media agency on Saturday released photos showing what it called “a nuclear-powered strategic guided missile submarine,” as it reported leader Kim Jong Un’s visits to major shipyards where warships are built. The naval vessel appears to be a 6,000-ton-class or 7,000-ton-class one which can carry about 10 missiles, said Moon Keun-sik, a South Korean submarine expert who teaches at Seoul’s Hanyang University. He said that the use of the term “the strategic guided missiles” meant it would carry nuclear-capable weapons. “It would be absolutely threatening to us and the U.S.,” Moon said. - AP

Whichever meme caused Trump's motivation: Putin's reaction to Trump's prodding remains unknown. He will gladly accept Ukraine as a gift; he will enjoy his renewed international standing and the expected lifting of all sanctions. But will he freeze his deals with North Korea and detach himself from China and Iran? Will he trust Trump and not be afraid of another possibly Democrat president four years down the road?

The answer might not be as positive as Trumpists expect.

Even if both gentlemen meet in person amid huggings, caviar and wodka, Putin will remain inscrutable. His ability to deceive others is legendary. Scores of western politicians can testify to it -- Merkel, Schröder, Trump, Orban, Salvini, yes: even Zelensky in the prewar days. Putin is a first class actor who would probably do very well as a Hollywood villain if he wasn't chained to his Kremlin throne.

In any case: Trump is turning much of the world order upside down, and the victims are desperately trying to adjust. Ukraine has no choice but to fight, no matter how many peace plans are hatched somewhere. Putin will continue resurrecting the Soviet Union jusqu'au bout du souffle.  Europe will continue to groan, haggle and start wasting enormous moneys on armaments. Sigh!

Heinrich von Loesch
 
 

Update

After Trump stopped the delivery of arms to Ukraine, even mainstream American media now appear convinced that President Trump is a vicarious agent busy to achieve Putin's goals. Trump believes that Ukraine will now be forced to surrender because Europe will not be able to step in the breach and save its bulwark. 

It seems the time has come for Europeans to visualize what a Russia would look like that owns all of Ukraine. 

The image of a combined Russia+Ukraine looks daunting. Ukraine would help the large neighbor to achieve a salto di qualità, a quantum leap not only in economic terms and size but in the art of warfare. By adopting modern Ukrainian fighting skills and inheriting advanced Western equipment and software, the Russian military would become a formidable challenger to NATO and Europe, full of pride and the urge to expand.

 

Beyond Ukraine

If we assume that Trump is indeed a Russian "asset", why would he be acting on behalf of Putin only as regards Ukraine? Could Putin's playbook also mandate Trump to create global havoc by disrupting world trade and reversing migration patterns? This suspicion conjures up a disturbing image of Putin cheerfully sitting in the Kremlin and pulling his global strings.

 

Another voice:

The goal is to make Kyiv capitulate

Hotnews is annoyed by Trump's accusations against Zelensky:

“Ukraine was accused of risking a third world war. Not the country that has nuclear weapons, that frequently threatens with such a war, that attacked Ukraine and could end the slaughter whenever it chooses by simply stopping the invasion. Ukraine is being blamed for defending itself and paying for this with tens of thousands of lives. ... What Trump and JD Vance have essentially suggested is that Kyiv should shut up and swallow the terms of capitulation. Zelensky would have heard the same thing in the Kremlin.”

 

 

 

 

 

-- 

 

Recent events in the White House and elsewhere have provoked strong sentiments in Europe (without Hungary and Slovakia). The sentiment runs along the line "we are too dependent on America; how can we rid ourselves of American elements in our work and daily routine?"

Some European companies said they will stop selling their products to America. Others stop selling fuel to American ships. But in everyday life, eliminating America is difficult. Google search and Yahoo email can be substituted by Qwant (the excellent French search engine) and a zillion of local email providers. Still, there are the omnipresent Microsoft, Amazon, Facebook and Tiktok (wrong, that's Chinese!) Which reminds me that some time ago we endeavored to limit the Chinese overreach on the web (Shein, Alibaba, Tencent, Temu...).

Should we now look for Chinese companies to substitute for McDonald's (why Donald, for heaven's sake?), Microsoft or Tesla (oops, wasn't Tesla made in Shanghai?). China vs.US -- isn't that like Scylla vs. Charybdis? If we try to eliminate both the US and China from our lives we will probably discover that we had already eliminated another scoundrel: Russia. It seems, our world is shrinking because more countries we once considered friends or partners have become unfriendly or outright enemies. Pity.

--ed

 

 Michael Bociurkiw suspects Trump insulted Zelensky during the White House shouting match because the planned rare earth deal between the US and Ukraine had been watered  down so much that the Trump team had decided to drop it (and Ukraine and Zelensky with it). Other observers considered the rare earth deal to be based on unreliable data and doubted if any US companies would invest in the highly endangered Ukraine. Perhaps Trump took advantage of Zelensky's visit to dump the deal without having to confess that his project had turned out to be a bubble.

Moscow must be stunned by the sudden turn of events. Zelensky has been promoted by Trump from hero to martyr+hero, a unique combination which immediately played out in London where Zelensky was not only hugged by Prime Minister Keir Starmer but was offered to be received by King Charles: a unique honor never before granted to a foreign politician. 

 

As European leaders prepare for a summit in London on Sunday, Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán and his Slovak counterpart Robert Fico are challenging the EU’s united front on Ukraine, pushing positions that echo the Kremlin’s stance.

In a letter to European Council President António Costa dated Saturday, Orbán called for the EU to engage in direct cease-fire negotiations with Russia, mirroring U.S. efforts under Donald Trump.

Slovak Prime Minister Fico said his country would refuse financial or military support to Kyiv and dismissed the West’s “peace through strength” approach as unrealistic.

 

One thing Trump achieved during the White House spat: the (almost) complete re-unification of Europe. A new Europe is rising from the embers of the White House fire, united in exclaiming No Putin, No Trump, no Vance!  Of course, there are European voices cautioning against confrontation with Washington, urging continued US support for Ukraine. But at heart, Europe knows that Trump does not care at all about Ukraine and will follow through with implementing Moscow's views. Trump is forcing Europe to become a world power, able to defend itself and its neighbors. Nothing short of a European miracle is needed.

 

r/2westerneurope4u - Updated Flyers to Print and Distribute.

 

 

President Donald Trump is currently outdoing himself in his eagerness to copy Russian views and to please Vladimir Putin. Why?

There are various explanations. The most popular is the assumption that Putin has kompromat that he can use to blackmail Trump and make him compliant. Recordings of Trump's sexual escapades during previous visits to Moscow are suspected to constitute the kompromat. Another assumption relates to President Biden's energetic support for Ukraine in its defensive struggle against Russia. Because Biden acted pro-Ukrainian, Trump now wants to act in the opposite way, i.e. pro-Russian, so the assumption goes.

Notwithstanding these hypotheses, there is also a possible geopolitical aspect to Trump's behavior: i.e. Trump's attempt to renew and strengthen his friendship with Putin in order to protect America from its enemies in the Far East: China and North Korea.

Three years of Western sanctions punishing the Kremlin for its invasion of Ukraine have isolated Russia. Despite all of its tricks, smuggling and shadow fleets, the effects of the sanctions became increasingly unpleasant for Moscow; Russia also became more and more isolated diplomatically.

Now Trump has broken Russia's shackles in one fell swoop, made Moscow presentable again and held out the prospect of removing the sanctions. What is driving Trump to do this? 

It was probably Putin's flirtation with North Korea's Kim Jong-un that startled Trump and his court. Putin and Kim together is a deadly pairing that should keep Washington awake at night. The combination of Kim's nuclear technology with Russian expertise in both nuclear technology and missile construction threatens to push the US mainland into the target area of the ruler in Pjoengyang. It is clear that Western sanctions have cornered Putin in such a way that by dropping Russia's long-standing self-limitation he has offered Kim to assist him in military development-- in order to win his friendship and his military support. Thus Kim gained access to cutting-edge technology that not only Russia but also China had denied him.

The causal chain is a simple one: Russia overruns Ukraine. America and Europe oppose the aggression and isolate Russia. Russia seeks help from China, Iran and North Korea. China hesitates, but North Korea responds enthusiastically, hoping that Russia would help it to bring America to its knees. A desperate Putin is forced to satisfy Kim. Trump recognizes the mortal danger this means to the USA and decides to intervene. But how?

By breaking Putin's isolation, by restoring his world standing and offering him his part of Ukraine, plus sacrificing the obnoxious Zelensky, Trump seeks to convince Putin --  in exchange for all the goodies --  to drop his new friend Kim and cease to collaborate with him before supersonic intercontinental missiles with nuclear warheads able to reach the US mainland are set up on launch pads hidden deep in North Korea's mountains.

Heinrich von Loesch
 
 
Donald Trump’s highly public schism with Volodymyr Zelensky has yielded the kind of doublethink that is common in personality cults. Those believers who approve of the policy hail the great leader’s strategic genius. And those who oppose it cast the blame elsewhere, constructing ever more elaborate accounts of Trump’s strategy to avoid acknowledging the obvious: Trump has an affinity for Vladimir Putin.
                                                 The Atlantic                                         
 
 
The day BEFORE the (White House) Zelenskyy meeting Russian lawmakers on Russian state TV said that Trump has embraced a new world order with Russia, their worldviews are aligned, and detailed the attack that Trump and Putin planned to do on Zelenskyy the next day.  
They detailed exactly what in fact happened the next day. 

The mineral deal was nothing but a set up.

Russian State TV Confirmed Trump is Actively Dividing the West, Trump’s Upcoming 25% Tariff on Europe is An Economic Attack Against Europe With Russia

They also said that Trump’s upcoming 25% tariff on Europe is Trump working with Russia to economically attack Europe.  They said that Trump is doing their work to actively divide the West.  Russian state TV said it was no coincidence that Trump was parroting Putin after their 90 minute call.  
 
 
Trump and his allies see themselves as carrying out a great feat of “rebalancing” on the world stage. They seem to harbor hopes of carrying out a “reverse Kissinger” — that is, forging an opening with Moscow in a bid to drive a wedge between Russia and China, just as President Richard M. Nixon undermined the Soviet Union when achieving a détente with Beijing in 1972.
 
 
Trump aka Krasnov?

In a Facebook post on Thursday (February 21), former Kazakh intelligence chief Alnur Mussayev makes an explosive claim: He had been active in the 6th Directorate of the KGB in Moscow, which was responsible for supporting counterintelligence in the economy. One of its main objectives had been the “recruitment of businessmen from capitalist countries”. As part of these efforts, “our directorate recruited Donald Trump, a 40-year-old American businessman, under the pseudonym Krasnov” in 1987.

Ex-KGB agent comes clean: Trump is said to have been recruited in 1987 under the code name “Krasnov”

But that's not all. "Donald Trump has fallen into the FSB's net and is taking the bait deeper and deeper. This is proven by numerous indirect facts published in the media," Mussayev writes below. Based on his “operational work at the KGB-KNB”, he can “say with certainty that Trump belongs to the category of perfectly recruited individuals”, the former intelligence chief continued. He has “no doubt that Russia compromised the president of the United States and that the Kremlin promoted Trump to the presidency of the most important world power for many years,” Mussayev claims.

Brisantes Posting: Hier schreibt der kasachische Geheimdienstmann von seinen Informationen, dass der KGB 1987 Donald Trump angeworben habe.

 In Musayev's home country of Kazakhstan, there are doubts about his account. In the USA, the “Daily Beast” magazine deleted an article on the story a few hours after it appeared. 

US President Donald Trump was groomed 37 years ago as a potential Soviet asset, according to Alnur Mussayev, the former head of Kazakhstan’s security services, who had been a KGB officer in Moscow at the time.

In a Facebook post, Mussayev tried to shed light on Trump’s often baffling willingness to mollify Putin: “In 1987, I served in the 6th Directorate of the USSR KGB in Moscow,” Mussayev wrote on Feb. 20, explaining how “the most important direction of the work of the 6th Administration was the recruitment of businessmen from capitalist countries.”

Alnur Mussayev

He added: “It was that year that our administration recruited a 40-year-old businessman from the United States, Donald Trump under the pseudonym ‘Krasnov.’”

Since his first term as president, Trump has been suspected of being, if not a Russian asset outright, then at least inordinately sympathetic to Vladimir Putin and Russia.

In 2017, just as Trump was taking office after defeating Hillary Clinton in the presidential election, a report put together by former British intelligence operative Christopher Steele came to light. The document, initially commissioned by Trump’s Republican adversaries and subsequently taken over by the Democratic opposition, contained salacious accusations from purported Russian intelligence operatives claiming that Moscow had kompromat (compromising material) on Trump dating back to his various visits to Russia – including the infamous and never-corroborated “golden shower” videotape with Trump and a prostitute in a Moscow hotel.

Although the credibility of the “Steele dossier” has been vehemently contested by Trump supporters, especially for its use of anonymous sources, Mussayev confirms the existence of kompromat on Trump. In a Facebook post from Feb. 18, 2018, the former Kazakh spy chief who now resides in Vienna, Austria, wrote:

Already seven years ago, Mussayev said that the ruling elite in the US understood well that their president was deeply dependent on the Kremlin, but wouldn’t openly admit it, so as to not jeopardize the US’s status as sole superpower. He predicted the various attempts to remove Trump from power.

“Donald Trump was cultivated as a Russian asset… and proved so willing to parrot anti-Western propaganda that there were celebrations in Moscow.” – Yuri Shvets

Well-worn accusations

Mussayev’s claims are by no means the only ones from former KGB officers.

In “American Kompromat,” a 2021 book by Craig Unger, former KGB officer Yuri Shvets claims that Trump had been recruited by Moscow in the 1980s.

Unger, however, has been quick to point out that the Trump recruitment process was almost fortuitous. “He was an asset,” Shvets said of Trump. “It was not this grand, ingenious plan that we’re going to develop this guy and 40 years later he’ll be president. At the time it started… the Russians were trying to recruit like crazy and going after dozens and dozens of people.

Shvets noted that Trump was the perfect target: “His vanity, narcissism made him a natural target to recruit. He was cultivated over a 40-year period, right up through his election,” he said, referring to the 2016 election.

Unexpected observer at Riyadh peace talks

Images from the Feb. 18  Riyadh meeting between Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and his American counterparts showed Russian businessman Dmitry Rybolovlev as a member of the Kremlin delegation and present at the talks, watching away from the main table. Rybolovlev is the Russian oligarch responsible for helping Trump out of a debt crunch by purchasing a Trump Palm Beach property valued at $40 million for $95 million in 2008.

 

NYT:  A columnist for the “New York Times” speculated after the scene whether Trump might be a Russian agent. He couldn't believe it himself, but at least Trump looked like one, wrote Thomas L. Friedman.

 

 

The Atlantic:

Trump and Vance have revealed to Americans and to America’s allies their alignment with Russia, and their animosity toward Ukraine in general and its president in particular. The truth is ugly, but it’s necessary to face it.

 

 Michael Bociurkiw:

This email address is being protected from spambots. You need JavaScript enabled to view it. that what we saw was almost pre-meditated. A deliberate sabotage by the Trump team of a draft resource deal that became so diluted that they no longer felt inclined to sign. But more so - long-simmering lava building up within Donald Trump against Zelensky and Ukraine that reached boiling point. . 

 

SPD foreign affairs expert Roth reacted with horror. “They are lashing out at Selensky without any respect or expertise. They are not only taking away his dignity, but also that of his people,” he told the ‘Tagesspiegel’ newspaper. This was “politically devastating and deeply indecent in human terms”. Putin and all authoritarian rulers should rejoice. With regard to the role of the USA, Roth added: “The USA no longer plays on the ‘liberal democracy’ team.”

“Anyone who relies on Trump's America will be abandoned"

 

 

There is a thing in Washington that many people understand but that few will say: that the Trump administration was looking for a pretext to ruin its relationship with Ukraine, and that the canned messaging that followed the Oval Office feels oddly coordinated and premeditated.

“That was a train wreck by design,” said Sam Greene, a professor of Russian politics at King’s College London. “The quiet conversation since Munich has been about setting Ukraine up for a fall."

By Friday afternoon, the Trump administration was briefing reporters that it was so offended by Zelenskyy’s conduct that it would consider cutting all military aid to Ukraine, including ammunition, vehicles and missiles awaiting shipment. The official told the Washington Post that the conflict with Zelenskyy had not been premeditated.

  

PS: And what will happen to Ukraine?

In an interview with VOA, Frederick Kagan said a Russian victory in Ukraine would be a victory for Iran, China and North Korea, encouraging adventurism in their respective regions, and allow Russia to rebuild its army by obtaining additional human and material resources within Ukraine. A Russian takeover of Ukraine would send a wave of refugees into Europe, further destabilizing the continent, Kagan said. “They’ve committed atrocities on the Ukrainian population in the areas they occupy. I would expect that would get worse the further west the Russians move and the more they move into the hardest traditional anti-Russian, pro-Western areas of western Ukraine. The horrors will be unspeakable,” he predicted.

 

  

 
...sagt Olivier van Beemen in seinem Buch.  Vertreibung, Militarisierung, Privatisierung von Land... im Namen des Naturschutzes.

Innerhalb von zwei Jahrzehnten hat sich African Parks zur größten Naturschutzorganisation in Afrika entwickelt. Unterstützt von westlichen Staaten, Philanthropen und Prominenten verwaltet die NGO heute 23 Nationalparks in 13 afrikanischen Ländern mit einer Fläche von über 20 Millionen Hektar - das entspricht der Größe Großbritanniens.

Nach vier Jahren Recherche, sechs besuchten Ländern und fast 300 Interviews beleuchtet der Journalist Olivier van Beemen in seinem am 21. Februar erschienenen Buch Au nom de la nature (Verlag de l'Échiquier) die „neokolonialistischen Praktiken“ dieser mächtigen NGO.

Er enthüllt ein Naturschutzmodell, das auf Militarisierung, Landprivatisierung und einer von westlichen Eliten dominierten Regierungsführung beruht. Wir trafen ihn in Amsterdam (Niederlande). 

Reporterre - Was hat Sie dazu veranlasst, diese NGO zu untersuchen, die als Vorbild für den Naturschutz angepriesen wird?

Olivier van Beemen - Alles begann zufällig in Sambia.... Damals hatte ich noch nie von dieser NGO gehört. Schon bald entdeckte ich eine Organisation mit ungeahnter Macht.

Ihr Motto, „a business approach to conservation“, machte mich sofort neugierig. Je mehr ich las, desto mehr entdeckte ich eine undurchsichtige Verwaltung und eine Logik des Landgrabbings unter dem Deckmantel des Naturschutzes.

Was mir ebenfalls auffiel, war die wichtige Rolle, die einige große Geldgeber und internationale Institutionen bei der Expansion von African Parks spielten. Sie wird von Milliardären und westlichen Regierungen, darunter Frankreich und die Europäische Union, unterstützt.

Am schockierendsten war die Entdeckung von Fällen, in denen mutmaßliche Wilderer gefoltert wurden. Ein ehemaliger Umweltschützer erzählte mir, dass „es im Park keine Menschenrechte gibt“. Die Militarisierung des Naturschutzes unter African Parks ist so weit fortgeschritten, dass die lokale Bevölkerung als potenzielle Feinde behandelt wird. Einwohner, die Kleinwild jagen oder Holz für ihre Häuser sammeln, werden festgenommen und manchmal brutal zusammengeschlagen, genauso wie Elfenbeinhändler.

Reporterre

 

 

 

 

 

 

  

Der von der britischen Zeitung The Telegraph veröffentlichte Entwurf eines Abkommens zwischen Kiew und Washington sieht vor, dass die Ukraine ihre angeblichen Schulden in Höhe von 500 Milliarden Dollar aus der Zeit der Biden-Hilfslieferungen anerkennt und für immer den Status einer amerikanischen Kolonie und eines Rohstofflieferanten ohne Rechte annimmt. De facto würde die Ukraine zwischen den USA und Russland geteilt werden. Der nicht-russische Teil der Ukraine würde nach dem Beispiel von Gaza und Grönland amerikanisch werden. Amerikanische Unternehmen würden alle natürlichen Ressourcen und Häfen der Ukraine verwalten und ausbeuten; ihre Anwesenheit würde ein weiteres Vordringen Russlands auch ohne amerikanische Militärpräsenz verhindern.

--ed

 

Zwei Raubtiere, die sich um die Beute balgen. Russland und die USA beanspruchen beide die Herrschaft über die Ukraine. Russland hat bereits einen Teil, Amerika sieht sich im Besitz des anderen. Können sich die beiden Rivalen in Riad auf eine friedliche Koexistenz einigen? Und wenn ja, für wie lange?

Der Krieg in der Ukraine ist lang und blutig genug, um Zelensky und die Europäer von der Notwendigkeit zu überzeugen, den Waffenstillstand und die Teilung der Ukraine zu akzeptieren. Dies ist sowohl für Putin, als auch für Trump von Vorteil. Die Europäer werden nicht nach ihrer Meinung gefragt, aber sie werden als Wächter gebraucht, um sicherzustellen, dass sich die Russen an den erwarteten Waffenstillstand halten. Das wird Russland wahrscheinlich bis zum Ende von Trumps Amtszeit tun. Europa würde sich nur missvergnügt mit der Rolle als Steigbügelhalter des US-Kapitals abfinden.